Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000677 0.000707 0.000737 0.000770 0.000806 0.000842 0.000883
2025-11-09 0.000618 0.000661 0.000706 0.000758 0.000814 0.000875 0.000946
2025-11-16 0.000573 0.000626 0.000682 0.000747 0.000821 0.000904 0.001002
2025-11-23 0.000552 0.000613 0.000679 0.000759 0.000851 0.000957 0.001088
2025-11-30 0.000530 0.000595 0.000670 0.000760 0.000869 0.000995 0.001156
2025-12-07 0.000503 0.000572 0.000652 0.000750 0.000869 0.001013 0.001199
2025-12-14 0.000480 0.000551 0.000634 0.000738 0.000868 0.001026 0.001236
2025-12-21 0.000461 0.000534 0.000620 0.000730 0.000869 0.001041 0.001276
2025-12-28 0.000432 0.000504 0.000589 0.000699 0.000840 0.001017 0.001262
2026-01-04 0.000416 0.000488 0.000575 0.000689 0.000837 0.001025 0.001290
2026-01-11 0.000403 0.000477 0.000567 0.000685 0.000840 0.001041 0.001330
2026-01-18 0.000390 0.000465 0.000556 0.000677 0.000838 0.001050 0.001359
2026-01-25 0.000382 0.000458 0.000553 0.000680 0.000851 0.001080 0.001421
2026-02-01 0.000369 0.000446 0.000541 0.000670 0.000847 0.001088 0.001451
2026-02-08 0.000357 0.000434 0.000530 0.000662 0.000845 0.001096 0.001482
2026-02-15 0.000354 0.000433 0.000532 0.000672 0.000867 0.001141 0.001571
2026-02-22 0.000347 0.000427 0.000529 0.000673 0.000878 0.001169 0.001635
2026-03-01 0.000337 0.000416 0.000519 0.000665 0.000873 0.001174 0.001664
2026-03-08 0.000327 0.000406 0.000508 0.000655 0.000867 0.001176 0.001688
2026-03-15 0.000318 0.000397 0.000500 0.000648 0.000865 0.001184 0.001720
2026-03-22 0.000303 0.000379 0.000478 0.000622 0.000833 0.001145 0.001674
2026-03-29 0.000295 0.000370 0.000469 0.000613 0.000827 0.001146 0.001695
2026-04-05 0.000289 0.000364 0.000463 0.000610 0.000828 0.001159 0.001734